Part 5 — Indicators

WaveTrend (Market Cipher B)

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In the world of Crypto and Forex, one indicator has gained a cult following: WaveTrend. Often sold for thousands of dollars under names like "Market Cipher," the core algorithm is actually free. It is a modified Commodity Channel Index (CCI) that visualizes market cycles perfectly.

Most oscillators look like nervous, jagged lines (like RSI). WaveTrend looks like... a smooth wave. It is designed to filter out the noise and show you the rhythmic "breathing" of the market. It tells you where the momentum is heading and, crucially, where the Money Flow is going.

It is an "All-in-One" indicator that provides three distinct pieces of information:

  1. Momentum: Is price moving fast? (The Waves).
  2. Direction: Are we Bullish or Bearish? (The Zero Line).
  3. Volume: Is big money entering or leaving? (The Money Flow).
Chart displaying the WaveTrend indicator with Green Dot buy signals and Red Dot sell signals on a dark background.
Green Dot = Buy Signal. Red Dot = Sell Signal. But context is everything.

1. The WaveTrend Settings & Components

WaveTrend is highly customizable, but most versions share a common set of visual components. Understanding them is key to interpreting the story it tells.

Common settings include a Channel Length of 9-10 and an Average Length of 12-21. Higher settings make the indicator less sensitive (slower), while lower settings make it more sensitive (faster).

2. The Red and Green Dots: A Filtered Signal

The most visually obvious part of the indicator is the "Dot" that WaveTrend prints when the fast momentum line crosses the slow signal line.

The Trap: Novice traders blindly buy every Green Dot and sell every Red Dot. In a strong downtrend, you will get multiple Green Dots that are nothing more than "Dead Cat Bounces" and will fail. You must filter these signals with context.

The "Gold Standard" Signal: The most powerful signal is a Green Dot that appears in the Oversold Zone (below -60), ideally with a Bullish Divergence, while the Money Flow cloud is also turning green. This combination indicates a potential cycle bottom with momentum and volume aligning.

3. The Zero Line: Your Momentum Equator

The Zero Line separates Bullish territory from Bearish territory. It acts as a powerful confirmation of the dominant short-term trend.

The Zero Line Bounce: A classic continuation pattern occurs when the waves cross from negative to positive, price rallies, and then pulls back to test the Zero Line. A bounce off the Zero Line (often accompanied by another Green Dot) is a high-probability entry for the next leg up.


4. Divergences: The "Anchor Wave" Theory

WaveTrend is famous for its clear divergences. Because the waves are smooth, it is easy to compare the heights of the peaks and troughs to spot discrepancies with price.

The Anchor Wave Pattern (for Bearish Divergence):

  1. Look for a Large Wave (The Anchor) that goes deep into the Overbought zone. This represents the peak of buying momentum.
  2. Price then makes a Higher High.
  3. Look for a Smaller Wave that forms on this new price high but fails to reach the same height as the Anchor wave. This is the Trigger wave.
  4. This divergence shows that despite the new high in price, the underlying "energy" of the move is exhausted. A reversal is highly probable.

This pattern provides a powerful visual confirmation that the trend is running out of steam.


5. Money Flow: Your Ultimate Confluence

Many versions of WaveTrend include a background cloud (Green or Red). This represents Money Flow, which incorporates volume into the momentum calculation. This is your ultimate filter because while price and momentum can be faked, significant volume is much harder to fake.


6. A Complete WaveTrend Trading Framework

Let's unify these concepts into a step-by-step strategy for a high-probability long entry:

  1. Step 1 (Context): Is the Higher Timeframe trend bullish? Is price at a key HTF support level?
  2. Step 2 (Setup): On your trading timeframe, has price pulled back, and has WaveTrend entered the Oversold (-60) zone?
  3. Step 3 (Confirmation): Do you see a Bullish Divergence (regular or hidden)? Is the Money Flow turning green?
  4. Step 4 (Trigger): Wait for the Green Dot to print as the WaveTrend lines cross and exit the oversold zone.
  5. Step 5 (Execute & Manage): Enter on the close of the trigger candle. Place your stop loss below the recent swing low. Target the Zero Line for TP1 and the opposite Overbought zone for TP2.

7. Summary

WaveTrend is powerful because it aggregates multiple data points (momentum, volume, cycles) into one visual story. It allows you to see the "breathing" of the market. Don't trade the dots blindly. Trade the complete story the waves are telling you: Is Money entering? Is Momentum shifting? Is the cycle bottoming out at a key structural level?